The sudden separation of the BJP and the PDP in Jammu and Kashmir is not only astonishing but it also has hidden signs of dislike.
The BJP took the decision to separate from the alliance, immediately after the announcement of the end of the month-long seizure in Kashmir. It seems that the BJP was already planning its plan.
Breaking the alliance is equally nominative, as it was to make it three years ago. Coming together with different ideologies BJP and PDP was a heterogeneous coalition.
While in coalition with BJP in 2014, the founder of PDP and former Chief Minister of the state, Mufti Mohammad Sayeed, described it as a union of North and South Pole. The purpose of the coalition was to adjust two different ideologies and aspirations.
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But as the law of nature says, the union of the North and the South Pole was inevitable. The first shared agenda was said, but both component teams could not find any common ground to work.
This government was supposed to operate from a shared agenda, but it remained a document in the frame on the wall.
In the government’s three years, the two parties were seen to be divided on many controversial and important issues. The issue of Article 370 and 35A or issues of GST and development, BJP and PDP could never be unanimous.
This coalition was a fraud since the beginning, but has been alive till now for the benefit of power and its benefits.
The BJP’s logic is strange that by breaking the coalition, he cited differences over increasing the ceilingfire. After the Eid, the BJP’s central government had announced the end of the sizfire, which PDP opposed. But PDP did not have the right to make a decision on the sezfire. In such a case, the argument for breaking the alliance on the issue of siegefire seems bleak.
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2019 Election move
The BJP is going to break the coalition, the PDP did not know it at all. At the same time, for the BJP state unit, this decision was somewhat surprising.
The worsening security situation in Kashmir, the increasing distance between the mainstream parties and the Kashmiris, and also a significant reason for the rise in communal polarization in the state.
So, after taking some weak steps towards the political solution of the Kashmir dispute, to break back and break the coalition at the right time, there is a strategy hidden behind it all.
The BJP has failed to fulfill its promise of development and economic development, hence it will now use this step of breaking the alliance in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
Elections are expected to be held in the state in a few months. Therefore, due to the deteriorating situation of Kashmir, communalization of the Jammu region and the poor image of the Muslim population of the state, BJP can take advantage of this in the elections.
It is very surprising that the sensitive state is trying to make the subject matter of cheap cheating of elections.
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Center can create a strong policy for Kashmir
With the fall of the government in the state, governor’s rule has been imposed. This gives the BJP central government the convenience of direct governance on Jammu and Kashmir and during this time no regional party is in a position to strongly protest against the hardline Hindutva narrative.
Governor NN Vohra’s tenure ends at the end of this month. So much depends on the next governor too.
It is, however, very likely that NN Vohra’s tenure may be extended for a few months. Vohra is an experienced person, but the governor’s chair will eventually go to someone else.
The greater the likelihood is that the Central Government will make a much more stringent policy on Kashmir. While RSS and other pro-Hindu organizations try to wreak communal polarization in Jammu
The history of armed struggle in Jammu and Kashmir since 1989 shows that during the tenure of the governors, the track record of the security situation and human rights of the state is more impaired.
In the center led by the Sangh-inspired BJP, the state is probably heading towards its most dark and dangerous phase.
(These are the personal views of the author)
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